Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1006.218010 1153.236272 1321.907164 1531.456561 1787.217015 2092.387233 2488.879349
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 811.534877 997.594223 1232.532989 1557.413978 2005.694755 2619.431390 3555.150504
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 726.473481 929.536402 1200.701200 1600.914704 2197.979374 3094.373348 4626.653389
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 648.963909 857.994112 1150.372992 1606.534183 2335.512583 3526.473722 5799.964603
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 581.648139 788.034088 1087.005666 1573.912024 2395.731028 3835.016636 6856.939100
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 540.936682 750.467480 1064.588764 1598.586793 2551.760972 4348.343523 8539.256300
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 490.786276 692.574740 1002.690867 1546.786533 2559.729474 4580.676031 9713.612208
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 450.914535 646.182379 953.141232 1507.637213 2581.635601 4845.158135 11105.751703
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 415.863811 603.933341 905.446109 1464.270558 2585.695721 5070.883236 12524.781544
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 405.169745 599.361660 919.357858 1534.414170 2833.487207 5935.084690 16486.459860
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 390.985155 587.587498 919.321197 1577.589251 3033.084151 6755.695990 21076.501874
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 377.678589 575.984679 918.093459 1617.802268 3235.063994 7665.339119 27069.616169
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 353.294797 545.218738 882.329540 1589.179803 3284.701536 8211.973769 32494.680054
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 337.990252 529.207930 872.593925 1615.254490 3482.522285 9344.326940 43381.813205
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 326.815241 519.215000 872.551320 1661.429374 3745.252564 10858.878910 60942.781975
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 312.037157 501.493051 855.698100 1667.112676 3899.473564 12084.840687 80957.422143
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 294.547884 477.425764 823.883971 1632.950728 3928.676961 12829.310800 99786.976365
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 284.544768 466.514357 817.468014 1658.820277 4150.689903 14613.384922 143489.983108
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 267.875232 441.868005 780.662219 1604.455650 4102.294355 15071.435210 170706.328996
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 253.764021 421.237528 750.590378 1563.368597 4089.659932 15733.196909 210078.567052
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 240.370956 401.201279 720.243185 1517.884495 4052.292875 16256.018183 254681.376480
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 237.863139 402.096911 734.531550 1591.466260 4461.282619 19857.746775 486771.689298
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 233.100782 398.198794 738.021156 1636.784919 4785.547275 23398.122202 931164.092582